CFL Previews - Playoffs - Week 2 (November 15th)

Football Betting Lines

11/14/2008 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) -

EDMONTON ESKIMOS (11-8) AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (11-7)

DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 15th, 1 p.m. (et).

GAME NOTES: The CFL's top two passing games will be front and center Saturday when Edmonton and Montreal meet in the East Division final.

Edmonton had the league's most potent passing attack, averaging 335 yards per game as quarterback Ricky Ray was the league's top passer with 5,663 yards. The receiving corps, even with the loss this season of star slotback Jason Tucker to a neck injury, still featured the likes of Kamau Peterson (101 catches, 1,317 yards, four touchdowns), Kelly Campbell (54 catches, 1,223 yards, seven touchdowns) and Fred Stamps (50 catches, 751 yards, six touchdowns).

Montreal's second-ranked aerial attack is anchored by veteran quarterback Anthony Calvillo, who was second overall in passing with 5,633 yards despite sitting out the club's season-ending loss to Edmonton. Jamel Richardson was the club's leading receiver with 98 catches for 1,287 yards and a CFL-high 16 touchdown grabs. Slotback Ben Cahoon, a finalist again as top Canadian, had a league-best 107 catches for 1,231 yards and seven touchdowns while Kerry Watkins added 84 receptions for 1,178 yards and 10 touchdowns.

And the expectation is footballs will certainly fill the air as this game will be played indoors at Olympic Stadium, meaning weather won't be a factor for either team.

If Montreal has an edge offensively, it's along the offensive line.

Center Brian Chiu and guard Scott Flory were both named to the CFL's All-Star team this week and are the lynchpins for an offensive line that allowed a league-low 22 sacks. Flory is also the East Division nominee for the league's outstanding lineman award.

But Montreal's front line can do more than just pass block. The Als averaged 113 yards rushing per game, a decent figure considering the club's reliance on the passing game. Tailback Avon Cobourne is expected to return to the lineup after missing time down the stretch due to injury.

Earlier this season, Cobourne was threatening to become the first CFL player ever to amass 1,000 yards rushing and receiving in the same season. Injuries prevented that from happening but Cobourne still ran for 950 yards (6.6-yard average) and accumulated more than 600 yards receiving. He is certainly a double threat for the Als.

Running the football wasn't something Edmonton did well this year.

The Eskimos finished last in the CFL in rushing, averaging just 85 yards per game. A.J. Harris did run for two touchdowns but was the club's leading runner in its 29-21 East Division semifinal win over Winnipeg with just 33 yards on 13 carries. Calvin McCarty, the other tailback, finished with minus-two yards on just one carry.

Meanwhile, Ray finished 27-of-37 passing for 303 yards, with Campbell accumulating 111 yards on five receptions.

The numbers: Edmonton was 3-6 on the road during the regular season and 5-3 against East Division teams. Montreal was 7-2 at home but 3-5 versus Western competition.

Keys to the game: With weather not being a consideration, the emphasis will be on both defenses doing what they can to shut down the other's passing attack.

Montreal's defense was the CFL's second-toughest to score against, allowing just 23.5 points per game. But the Alouettes were ranked seventh against the pass, giving up 318 yards per game.

However, the Als were able to get pressure on the quarterback, finishing second in the CFL in sacks recorded with 43.

Edmonton was ranked third in the CFL against the pass, allowing 277 yards per game but sixth in rushing yards allowed, giving up 113 per game. However, the Eskimos did have 23 interceptions, leaving them tied for second overall.

And both defenses were pretty good when it came to forcing turnovers. Montreal was third in takeaways with 48, four more than Edmonton.

What's more, the two teams split the season series, with the home club winning each time. But Edmonton's victory came with the Als sitting a number of their starters. Even with this game being played indoors, Montreal would appear to have just a bit more firepower.

Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Montreal 27, Edmonton 24.

BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS (12-7) AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS (13-5)

DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 15th, 4:30 p.m. (et).

GAME NOTES: The Calgary Stampeders will look to do something that's pretty incredible: Beat the B.C. Lions for the fourth time this season.

The Stampeders swept the three meetings in the regular season, but will have to make it 4-for-4 to continue toward a Grey Cup title after B.C. advanced to the division final with an impressive 33-12 West Division semifinal win over Saskatchewan. The Lions forced seven turnovers in that game, including a 54- yard interception return for a touchdown by defensive back Ryan Phillips.

Then again, that was nothing new this year as the Lions were the CFL's best at pressuring the quarterback and forcing turnovers. They led the league in sacks (68), interceptions (27) and turnovers (60, including 24 fumble recoveries, another league high).

Defensive end Cameron Wake had a league-best 23 sacks this year, with tackle Aaron Hunt finished second overall with 11 sacks and end Brent Johnson being tied for third with 10. Safety Barron Miles was tied for the CFL lead in interceptions with nine.

But Calgary presents a big challenge for the Lions because of its offensive versatility. The Stampeders have the CFL's top receiver in Ken-Yon Rambo (100 catches, 1,473 yards, eight touchdowns), the leading rusher in Joffrey Reynolds (1,310 yards, 10 touchdowns) and the top scorer in kicker Sandro DeAngelis (217 points, good on 50-of-58 field goal tries).

But the man who makes the unit go is quarterback Henry Burris. Burris established career highs this year in yards passing (5,094) and touchdowns (39), and was also the league's top-rushing quarterback with 595 yards. That mobility will be key in this game because if Burris can escape the Lions' contain, he will have the time to look further downfield or simply take off and make plays with his legs.

Buck Pierce will get the start for B.C. but has been playing through an ankle injury. Pierce threw for 2,917 yards with 19 touchdowns and just nine interceptions despite the wonky ankle. If he aggravates the injury, then Jarious Jackson (2,008 yards, 17 touchdowns, 10 interceptions) will step into the quarterback role.

While Reynolds gets all the notoriety when it comes to the running game, B.C. counters with rookie Stefan Logan, who had 889 yards rushing this year with a solid 7.3-yard average per carry. Logan had 153 yards on 18 carries in the Lions' semifinal win over Saskatchewan.

The numbers: B.C. was 5-4 on the road during the regular season but 4-6 within the West Division. Calgary was 7-2 at home and 6-4 against division rivals.

Keys to the game: The Lions have to find a way to not only contain Burris but get pressure on him. Despite Burris' brilliant regular-season numbers, he has always struggled in the playoffs. Get to him early and maybe B.C. can force that doubt to creep back into Burris' mind.

But for all the publicity B.C.'s defense gets, it was Calgary's unit that was the CFL's toughest to score against, allowing just 21.5 points per game. The Stampeders will also be looking to get to Pierce and either force him to run on the bad wheel or at least throw the ball before he's settled.

However, the presence of both Logan and Reynolds means the defenses have to respect the other's running game, too.

Weather could also be a factor, with winds up to 15 miles an hour.

Both teams have a lot going for them heading into this game, but it's hard to imagine a team being able to beat a rival four times in the same season. The law of averages has to swing into B.C.'s favor some time, and here's figuring it does Saturday.

Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: B.C. 23, Calgary 21.

Last week's record: 1-1; Season record: 42-32.

Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds

Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it. Work left to do: Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney. Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson. Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable. Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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