Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint Preview

Horseracing Betting Lines

10/27/2011 - Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Female sprinters take center stage for the fifth running of the Grade 1 $1-million Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint held for the second straight year at Churchill Downs on the Friday card of the Championships.

Horse-for-course Dubai Majesty, a two-time heroine of the G3 Winning Colors at Churchill, added to her resume beneath the Twin Spires with a 2 1/4-length win in last year's edition. With Jamie Theriot in the irons, the daughter of Essence of Dubai sat within striking distance in fourth through a half mile in :45.44, and began to roll four wide on the turn for home. She took command in the stretch and was never seriously threatened by California invaders Switch and Evening Jewel, who settled for second and third, respectively. Champagne d'Oro, the lukewarm favorite at 4-1, stayed on for fourth after pressing the early pace. Defending champ Informed Decision failed to land a blow in seventh. Sent off at odds of 8-1, Dubai Majesty stopped the clock for seven furlongs in 1:22.31. The Florida-bred earned a lifetime-best 103 Beyer Speed Figure.

"We were excited about running her here at Churchill," trainer Bret Calhoun said after saddling his first Breeders' Cup winner. "She's been very consistent, very honest for us all along. She's a wonderful mare."

The 6-year-old was subsequently retired with a record of 34-12-7-6 and earnings of $1,509,243. Campaigned by Martin Racing Stable LLC and Dan Morgan, Dubai Majesty fetched $1.1 million from Japanese interests as a broodmare prospect at the Fasig-Tipton November Sale just two days after registering her Breeders' Cup victory.

Will another Churchill specialist follow in her hoofprints Nov. 4?

Sassy Image certainly has the credentials to make it happen. The chestnut won three of four attempts in Louisville as a juvenile in 2009, including the G2 Golden Rod and G3 Pocahontas, and continued her love affair with her old Kentucky home this term in sprints with tallies in the G1 Humana Distaff Stakes on the Derby undercard and the Winning Colors on Memorial Day, earning career high Beyer Speed Figures of 105 and 99 in the process.

"She loves it here; she loves Churchill," trainer Dale Romans said following Sassy Image's decisive 16-1 upset victory in the Humana Distaff. "When [Robby Albarado] took her off the turn, she just exploded. Yes, the Breeders' Cup here in the fall is something to think about, for sure."

The 4-year-old daughter of Broken Vow shipped to Calder for a dramatic last- to-first win going six furlongs in the G1 Princess Rooney in July, rallying from an astounding 15 lengths back to record her second win at the highest level. However. Sassy Image's dream season hit a speed bump in her next attempt at Saratoga. Favored over five rivals in the G1 Ballerina, she leapt at the start, bolted on the turn for home, and finished 26 3/4 lengths behind the visually impressive winner Hilda's Passion. It was later revealed that Sassy Image had a valid excuse that day, grabbing a quarter.

The victory also took its toll on the speedy Hilda's Passion. She emerged from her dazzling 9 1/4-length win with a season-ending non-displaced condylar fracture of her right front leg and is scheduled to go under the hammer as a racing or broodmare prospect at the Fasig-Tipton November Sale.

Romans, currently enjoying a banner year after winning his first Classic with Shackleford in the Preakness, annexed his first Breeders' Cup race with Tapitsfly two years ago in the Juvenile Fillies Turf at Santa Anita. He trains Sassy Image on behalf of his older brother Jerry.

The talented Turbulent Descent looks to become the first sophomore to defeat older fillies and mares in this event. Astutely turned back to one-turn affairs this spring, the G1 Hollywood Starlet and G1 Santa Anita Oaks victress dismantled five rivals in Keeneland's G2 Beaumont in April, then had to settle for second as the heavy favorite behind the sharp It's Tricky going a mile over a saturated Belmont main track in the G1 Acorn on the Belmont Stakes undercard. Freshened since, the daughter of Congrats got back on track in a big way, blowing the doors off with a sparkling 3 3/4-length decision in the prestigious G1 Test at Saratoga. Turbulent Descent, owned by a partnership group headed by Blinkers On Racing Stable, is perfect in three attempts at the Filly & Mare Sprint distance of seven furlongs.

"She'll take on any horse out there at this distance," trainer Mike Puype said following the Test. "It puts her right to the top of the division. She's the favorite to win the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint."

Puype has been represented by two previous Breeders' Cup starters - Old Trieste (eighth in the 1999 Classic) and Supreme Summit (fourth in the 2010 Sprint).

Fellow 3-year-old Hot Summer punched her ticket to the big dance with a rallying win while cutting back in distance to six furlongs in Saratoga's G3 Victory Ride. The G3 Comely victress was previously third in the nine-furlong G2 Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico. She will have to step up her game in the speed figure department to get the job done here though. Hot Summer earned a career high Beyer of 89 in the Victory Ride. Trainer David Fawkes and owner Harold Queen teamed up for a victory in last year's Breeders' Cup Sprint with Big Drama.

Veteran mare Tar Heel Mom, trained by Stanley Hough, owns the experience edge amongst the top contenders and has the ability to hang up triple-digit speed figures. She has enjoyed one of her best seasons as a 6-year-old, holding on by a neck to defeat the aforementioned rocketship Hilda's Passion in the G3 Sugar Swirl at Gulfstream back in January, and was a dominating wire-to-wire winner of Saratoga's G2 Honorable Miss in August, earning a 101 Beyer. Tar Heel Mom had her chances compromised after a stumbling beginning in the Ballerina, and crossed the wire a distant second after pressing the pace. She may prefer going a furlong shorter, but does own a graded victory at the seven-furlong distance of the Filly & Mare Sprint in the 2010 G2 Distaff at Aqueduct. The Alex Rankin colorbearer has lined up on the Churchill strip three previous times in her career; her best finish was a second in an $80,000 optional tagger in 2009. From four previous Breeders' Cup starters, Hough's best result was a fifth-place finish with Sensation in the 2005 Juvenile Fillies.

Irish Gypsy, a daughter of 1995 Breeders' Cup Juvenile runner-up Hennessy, and Tanda, lead the way for the West Coast representatives. The former, trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, earned an automatic spot in the starting gate for the Filly & Mare Sprint with a game nose victory in the G1 A Gleam at Hollywood in July, but has failed to build off that effort since. Tanda, a close third in that "Win and You're In" prep for trainer Dan Hendricks, turned the tables on Irish Gypsy while making her first start for conditioner Mike Mitchell with a 1 1/4-length win in Del Mar's G3 Rancho Bernardo, a race Irish Gypsy tired to be third. The Sweetsouthernsaint filly ran well in her only previous start on conventional dirt as a sophomore in 2010, rallying from far back to complete the trifecta in Belmont's Acorn.

The G2 Presque Isle Downs Masters, held in early September, has quickly become a key prep race for the Filly & Mare Sprint producing the last two winners. The improving 4-year-old Musical Romance, second beaten only a neck to Sassy Image in the Princess Rooney, got it done this year stalking the early leaders and holding on by a neck over the fast finishing Canadian shipper Ariana D, who came flying on the outside from last after a rough trip. It was a half-length back to 2011 G1 Vinery Madison Stakes heroine Shotgun Gulch, who also rallied from out of the clouds to finish third.

Three of the four winners of the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint - Maryfield (2007), Informed Decision (2009) and Dubai Majesty (2010) - have been crowned Eclipse Champion Female Sprinter. The brilliant Indian Blessing failed to withstand the explosive rally of Ventura in the 2008 edition, but a trio of Grade 1 wins that season in the La Brea, Prioress, and Test proved enough for her to bring home the hardware. With a mixed bag of winners in this term's prep races, it looks like a championship is likely to be on the line once again.

Wwwworldgaming Horseracing Betting News


<< Oyster Bowl returns home to ODU's Foreman Field
Norfolk, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After 16 years, the Oyster Bowl will once again return to Foreman Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium when No. 15 Old Dominion hosts No. 9 James Madison on Saturday. Played at ODU's stadium from 1946 to 1995, the Oys

<< Bears release Chris Harris
Lake Forest, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Bears have released safety Chris Harris. The seventh-year veteran had appeared in just three games this season after a strong 2010 campaign. He had a career-best five interceptions to g

<< Paterno and Penn State primed for stretch run
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The method of coaching on game day has been altered in Happy Valley, but the results are eerily similar. Penn State is atop the Leaders Division in the Big Ten with an impressive 4-0 conference mark. T

<< Is tonight the night for the Rangers?
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fans in Arlington have waited 51 years for their Texas Rangers to win a world title, what is one more night? It rained a little in St. Louis on Wednesday. Probably not enough to warrant a postponement, but Major League Bas

<< Devils continue trip with a stop in the desert
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New Jersey Devils aim for back-to-back wins when they resume a four-game road trip Thursday night against the Phoenix Coyotes at Jobing.com Arena. The Devils put to rest a two-game slide with Tuesday's 3-0 blanking of

Terps point guard Howard out with foot injury >>
College Park, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Maryland point guard Pe'Shon Howard could miss up to 10-12 weeks with a broken bone in his left foot, first-year head coach Mark Turgeon said Thursday. Howard, a sophomore, averaged 5.4 points and 3.2

American extends men's hoops coach Jones >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - American University has rewarded men's basketball coach Jeff Jones with a contract extension through the 2015-16 season. Jones will begin his 12th season as head coach of the Eagles and last year

Cardinals find themselves in familiar spot >>
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Those who suffered the most from the postponement of Game 6 of the World Series were the fans. Two nights without baseball during a postseason run that has been nothing short of remarkable is a

Ramsay beats tough conditions in Spain >>
San Roque, Cadiz, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Richie Ramsay battled windy conditions on Thursday to post a six-under 65 in the first round of the Andalucia Masters. In a high-scoring day, Ramsay beat the odds by posting an eagle, five birdies

Edmonton hits big with Lottery Line >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - According to American poet Henry Wadsworth Longfellow, "youth comes but once in a lifetime." These days in Edmonton, a trio of Oilers are making the most of those once-in- a-lifetime years. Whether you

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

Additional basketball lines can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.